No, I have no idea who is going to win the race here in the 9th Congressional District. I'm not privy to that kind of polling data on a daily basis and the race is too tight to even venture a guess. But I will predict this:
If the weather is nice, Rick Boucher wins. If it's raining Morgan Griffith rides to victory.
It's as simple as that.
Why?
Because, based on all recent polling, the elderly remain steadfast in their support of the Democrat. And the elderly always turn out in (relatively) high numbers in mid-term elections. Unless the weather is bad and they (well, some of them) are unwilling to risk their health.
A Fact: Old people vote.
And the younger citizens among us? Those who break heavily in Morgan Griffith's favor?
Not nearly as likely.
So pray for bad weather.
- - -
What does Weather.com predict tomorrow to look like?
Sunny. High of 59°.
Uh oh. Better get on the phone and call your neighbors. Tell them to get off their dead asses in the morning and go down and stand in line behind granny. 'Cause you know she's going to be there.
3 comments:
What happens when you eat your seed corn? Same thing that happens when your government puts your country into job-crushing debt.
Either we get our fiscal house in order, or we deal with disaster.
Here is a guess - Griffith 53%, Boucher 45%. The undecideds break for Griffith, the Heaton vote drops to less than 2%. A few more republicans come home and the voter turnout model for the last Survey USA poll underestimates republican turnout.
Perhaps.
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