Democrat Boucher Keeps VA-09 Blue: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 09/03/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith 50% to 40%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.Two things: (1) When has Boucher ever polled 50% or under? (soon to be under.) Never. (2) Heaton is nothing more than a spoiler and he knows it. His support will remain around 5% - until election day when adult decisions have to be made. Most all those Heaton voters will break for Griffith. There's no way they'll go back to Boucher. Too many bridges have been burned. That in itself will make this a nail-biter.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Boucher is down a nominal 2 points, Griffith is up a nominal 1 point. The contest remains tied among men; among women, Boucher leads by 22 points, essentially unchanged. 1 in 4 Republicans continue to cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents remain divided. A third party candidate in the race, Jeremiah Heaton, gets 9% of the vote among Independents, 5% of the vote overall.
There's a lot of time left. And a lot of undecided voters to win over. This is going to be fun to watch. Stay on him, man. Don't let go.