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People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it. Welcome to From On High.

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Sweet Jesus

What can I say?


You guys rock!

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And it's official:

"Boucher delivers concession speech."

Pinch me.

Jeremiah Heaton Releases Concession To Griffith

It's about as adult and as gracious as one has come to expect from him.

As reported by "Blue Ridge Caucus":
Jeremiah Heaton ... just issued the following “concession” statement, if you can call it that:

Where will our new Congressman live?

Holiday Inn?

Days Inn?

Howard Johnson?

Super 8?

Red Roof Inn?

Double Tree?

Marriott?

Clarion Inn?

The 9th Congressional District is the only Congressional District in America whose new Congressman will live in a hotel.

With Highest Regards…

Jeremiah
Keepin' it classy. As always.

This One Doesn't Surprise Me

Living just up the road from West Virginia, and keeping a close eye on the Senate race there, I'm not at all shocked by this:

Manchin Wins.

Heavily favored early on to crush his opponent, the Democrat started out poorly, but when he launched his negative TV ads, which were devastatingly effective at branding the Republican as being an uncaring, wealthy Palm Beach carpetbagger, it was obvious that Manchin was going to win in a walk. And his self-confidence in the last few days sent that message.

Now the question becomes: Can Joe Manchin remain comfortable in a very liberal Democrat Party?

We'll soon find out.

What a Night!

At the 9:00 hour here are the election results up to the present as reported by the Virginia State Board of Elections:

Do you believe in miracles?

Click on the image to enlarge it.

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Check out these preliminary numbers from Washington County, Rick Boucher's home base.  With nearly all precincts reporting:

It's also where the Tea Party has its strongest following in the 9th District.  They not only attend town hall meetings.  They vote!

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Here's what's making all the difference: Turnout in Boucher's most loyal counties is extremely light.

Dickenson County.  At 35.1%.  This traditionally Democrat stronghold is sitting this one out.

All because of his cynical cap-and-trade vote.

He has only himself to blame.

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Washington County, where the Tea Party is a movement to be reckoned with?  50.1% of the eligible voters voted! (with one precinct yet to report.)

A Good Day Turns Bad

Republican Party Chairman Pat Mullins has released the following statement regarding the death of Governor Bob McDonnell's father:
Statement of RPV Chairman Pat Mullins on the Passing of Lt. Col. John F. ‘Jack’ McDonnell

"I was greatly saddened to learn of the passing of Governor McDonnell's father, retired Air Force Lt. Col. John F. ‘Jack’ McDonnell on Tuesday morning. Jack McDonnell was a great patriot who served his country for decades with distinction. The son of immigrants, his life was the embodiment of the American dream. The Governor is the leader he is today because of the influence of his father and the example he set for his children.

The Commonwealth of Virginia has lost a great patriot, but the McDonnell family has lost a beloved father and grandfather. Our thoughts and prayers are with the Governor and his family this evening." [received via email]
"The angels are always near to those who are grieving, to whisper to them that their loved ones are safe in the hands of God."
-- Eileen Elias Freeman --

It's Independence Day

It's All About Obama

If Rick Boucher loses today, it will be for one reason and one reason alone - Barack Obama. It was, after all, Mr. Obama who inspired those efforts that have most infuriated and, yes, frightened the electorate - stimulus bills, the takeover of America's once-most admired companies, Wall Street bailouts, deficits that, a generation ago, would have stirred panic in the marketplace, the dissing of our closest allies, CAP AND TRADE, and, of course, ObamaCare, though Boucher can rightly claim that he (in the end) voted against it. By the time that that vote was cast, the die, as the saying goes, was cast. Americans took a measure of the man in the White House - finally! - and they didn't like what they were seeing. And they rejected him. And all whom he loves.

Alas.  Poor Rick.

He is Obama's coattails.  Much to his chagrin.  In 2008 that was something to be proud of.  In 2010 it's the stuff a career politician who sees the handwriting on the wall runs from with all due haste.

But he may not be able to run fast enough.  Or far enough.  Rick Boucher may get bounced.  That's how it goes.

But what of tomorrow?

We the American people will now have to turn to the man who made our congressman's demise possible.  What to do with Barack Obama?  What lessons might we the voters take away from this awful mess we created?

Dorothy Rabinowitz thinks we've learned from our mistake and it won't happen again any time soon.  From "Why Obama Is No Roosevelt":
Whatever the outcome of today's election, this much is clear: It will be a long time before Americans ever again decide that the leadership of the nation should go to a legislator of negligible experience—with a voting record, as state and U.S. senator, consisting largely of "present," and an election platform based on glowing promises of transcendence. A platform vowing, unforgettably, to restore us—a country lost to arrogance and crimes against humanity—to a place of respect in the world.

The Democrats may not take a complete battering in the current contest, but there is no doubt of the problems ahead. This election has everything to do with the man in the White House about whom Americans have lost their illusions.
Rabinowitz thinks it's clear that we will not make the same mistake we made in 2008 any time in the near future. I, on the other hand, have my doubts. The Obama that has disillusioned so many of his supporters of late is no different from the Obama who led them to believe that he was larger than life two short years ago. They just couldn't see through the hype broadcast by him, his campaign, and his news media. To me, the American people are shocked to find the person in charge is the person many of of us knew he was all along. And if they can be that easily duped once (or twice - remember all that crap the mainstream press threw out there not that long ago about "the man from Hope"?), they can be led down the path again.

Let's "hope" not. If this country survives Obama, we certainly can't afford another one.

So Rick Boucher may lose his lucrative gig today. If only he had been a little more discriminating in his choice of heroes, eh, Rick?


If only WE had been more discriminating too ...

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A special note to Dorothy Rabinowitz:

"It will be a long time before Americans ever again decide that the leadership of the nation should go to a legislator of negligible experience ..."  A Question: How many of them rallied on the Washington Mall last weekend behind a Comedy Central jokester?

What It Comes Down To

Here's some pre-election analysis and historical commentary for you to ponder - offered up by the Roanoke Times's invaluable "Blue Ridge Caucus" - as we all get ready to go out and make a profound alteration to the political landscape:
* The last time Democrat Rick Boucher had opposition — against Bill Carico in 2006 — he carried EVERY locality. Boucher’s toughest race in the last decade was in 2004, against Kevin Triplett. Even then, Boucher won all but two localities. Triplett carried Patrick County and the part of Roanoke County that is in the 9th. We can safely stipulate that Griffith will be a stronger candidate than Triplett, so that 2004 becomes a good benchmark to start from.

* Obama, however, lost all but four localites in the 9th in 2008; Alleghany County and Covington in the Highlands and Montgomery County and Radford in New River were the only exceptions.

So, how will the 9th vote this time? Will it vote for Boucher? Or against Obama? That’s the key tension in the race.

When the returns start coming in Tuesday night, here are some key places to look where we might get early indication of how that tension is resolving itself:

* First, the coalfields. Historically,Boucher has won thunderous majorities in the coalfields — 75 percent in Norton in that 2004 race against Triplett; 72 percent in Buchanan County, even close to 63 percent in Tazewell County, the most Republican-leaning coal county. However,Griffith has hammered hard on cap-and-trade, hoping to cut into Boucher’s rock-solid support in the coalfields. Griffith’s position is simple: Cap-and-trade is a bad idea, he’s against it. Boucher’s is more complicated: Coal interests asked him to get involved to help make a bad bill more palatable to them. That kind of nuance is hard to explain on a bumper sticker or a yard sign. “Boucher betrayed coal” is, however. If Griffith can split the coalfield vote with Boucher, it’s going to be a long night for the Democrats.

* Outside the coalfields, it’s useful too [sic]  look at the biggest voting blocs in the district.

* Montgomery County is the most populous. It’s also, as noted, one of only four places in the 9th that Obama carried. Boucher took 62 percent here in 2004. But it’s not like Griffith is a stranger in the New River Valley. In the 1990s, he represented part of Montgomery in the General Assembly. I’m going to be looking to see if Boucher holds onto his vote in Montgomery County, or whether Griffith chips away at any of it and, if so, how much.

* Washington County is the second most populous county — and also Boucher’s home county. You’d expect a guy to do well on his home turf. On the other hand, Boucher took only 52 percent of the vote in Washington County in that race against Triplett. That figure gets my attention — and makes me wonder what the much-better funded Griffith will pull there.

* The third biggest county is Tazewell County and the fifth is Wise, both in the aforementioned coalfields, so we’ve dealt with them.

* The fourth biggest is Pulaski County. It’s a county that fits the profile of what used to be called “Reagan Democrats,” which makes it a potentially interesting bellwether. Boucher took 59.7 percent here against Triplett; he won 59.3 percent of the vote district-wide, so Pulaski could wind up being the perfect bellwether for the 9th District race.
Fascinating.

Here's how it will shake out.  Boucher will carry Montgomery County (because Virginia Tech is a land unto itself, heavily entrenched in the liberal/statist worldview) and Washington County (because Boucher hails from Abingdon).  Griffith will be victorious everywhere else ...

... except possibly Dickenson County.

Dickenson County ...

Too Funny

You may remember my weblog post from the other day, "Boucher: Martians May Be Funding My Opponent's Campaign," in which I highlighted our congressman's charge that Morgan Griffith may be receiving secret campaign donations from ... well, nobody knows, so it's frightening him to death.

Mr. Nowlin has taken that theme and run with it.  Here's "Rick Boucher and the Secret Alien Money":




Great stuff.