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Friday, January 27, 2012

When Prediction Gets Out Ahead Of Science

As contrarians like me have been asking for years: We're going to alter our way of life on this planet - in a breathtakingly sweeping way - because of results obtained in computer models and on (educated or otherwise) prognostications?

Scientists - scientists - have - to their shame - said YES.

Well, some anyway.

But not all.

There is now - finally - a growing number who say NO:
No Need to Panic About Global Warming
There's no compelling scientific argument for drastic action to 'decarbonize' the world's economy.
Wall Street Journal

A candidate for public office in any contemporary democracy may have to consider what, if anything, to do about "global warming." Candidates should understand that the oft-repeated claim that nearly all scientists demand that something dramatic be done to stop global warming is not true. In fact, a large and growing number of distinguished scientists and engineers do not agree that drastic actions on global warming are needed.

In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: "I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: 'The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.' In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?"

In spite of a multidecade international campaign to enforce the message that increasing amounts of the "pollutant" carbon dioxide will destroy civilization, large numbers of scientists, many very prominent, share the opinions of Dr. Giaever. And the number of scientific "heretics" is growing with each passing year. The reason is a collection of stubborn scientific facts. [link]
It would do everyone well to read that "collection of stubborn facts." The most prominent of which is this: The planet is no longer warming.

Make no mistake, science will some day overtake the wild, unsubstantiated conjecture that passes for global warming theory.  It won't be soon.  But eventually.  Inevitably.

It was a mistake by many, a hoax perpetrated - and perpetuated - by others.

Global warming will die.  And science will be the better for it when it does.